The mission of this site is to optimize lottery winning chances
The players on the field
Imagine lottery prediction as a playing field and in every corner you have an expert, who has literally and respectively a different viewpoint to the same subject. We should not judge any of those right away as every one of them is right considering the viewpoint of that person.
However, in our case those players are:
- Superstitious people
- Fortune teller
As you are reading this post, you might be interested in this topic in general, so which expert would be your best candidate?
Although any of the above player has more or less agreeing folks on his/her side, the focus of this website is clearly on the statisticians, or is it against them after all? If you read my “About Me” post you would say: one moment please, he was writing about fooling the statistics in that article, how can it be?
Therefore, we have to define one more group, -yes, that’s us – and add it to the above list:
- The Anti-Statisticans
But why in the world “Anti” ? The next section will clarify this matter…
Why is it Anti-Statistics?
Statisticians and mathematicians use probability formulas to calculate how likely an event is … and that’s all! They can tell you how likely it is for someone to be struck by lightning, but not concretely who, when, or where it’s gonna happen(which would be fortune telling, BTW and sometimes it’s better not to know everything)… you get the point.
The second thing is: they don’t care about the past because it is defined that past events have no influence on probability of future ones (provided the lottery company puts back all balls into the bowl before next draw!).
In terms of lotteries a statistician would say something like: “The balls have no memory!”.
We – the brand new defined Anti-Statisticians – would say : “The balls HAVE a SHORT TERM memory!”.
The evidence lies in practice and I leave it to you to prove it by yourself: just pick randomly any 10 consecutive draws of your favorite lottery and notice how numbers repeat throughout draws…if fact this works for most gambling games, even roulette (but not black jack, because the number of cards is reduced during the game and chances vary that way, in our own words: no memory is left to work with).
With all that in mind, how can we take advantage of all of this for creating profit? We’ll find out…
Tricking statistics for lottery prediction
Here is how it goes in practice, the interesting part of the story if you like:
At the beginning we have, of course, a number of drawings to built up our short term memory, because as per our definition of the subject we need history to predict future.
The system will check for “sightings”, “accidental occurrences” and patterns and build some kind of ranking including numbers to be “downgraded” from hot candidates and vice versa. Without digging too far into mathematical details we will finally get our preferred candidates. The count of those numbers varies from drawing to drawing and the total count is significantly less than half(sometimes even less than a third) of the total available numbers of the respective lottery.
Let’s try a real world scenario and have a closer look to Powerball.
Our lottery prediction for hot candidates for the draw dated July 29, 2018 would be:
1,2,3,4,8,9,10,16,17,18,19,20,22,23,24,26,27,28,29,35,36,37,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,49,55,56,57,58,59,62,63,64,65,66,67,68 and 69
Categorizing hot candidates:
A Total of 31 numbers instead of 69 numbers, so you play 5 out of 44 instead 5 out of 69!!
The next step consists of grouping those numbers into categories. This is the point where we consider the overall occurrence of each candidate from the beginning until today. We’re going to build groups from very frequent(Group 1) to dead number pool(Group X). Group X means that due to the number of balls every lottery has different group sizes. E.g. for Powerball and Mega Millions we have 7 hot number groups and 7 cold number groups.
Up to this point you don’t have to worry about anything as it is the systems’s job to find and group and present you the results for you to choose your preferred strategy of playing them.
You can choose to have one number from each group, either by your choice or by random(probably much better performance than Quick Pick!), or you are able define to choose any number of candidates from any pool (e.g. 2 from Group 1, 2 from Group 3 and 1 from Group 4), as mentioned before by direct choice or by random. You can even mix a cold candidate into your play if it is your lucky number. However, all numbers are displayed and can by played, no matter how each one of them is rated.
Searching for proof
Our above example we have indicated 5 out of 45 numbers, so there is still a large number of tickets to play to cover the possible combinations. Although your chances of winning the holy jackpot have dropped drastically since we are picking from much less than the half of all available numbers.
from 1 in 292,201,338 melted down to 1 in 28,236,208(about 90% less!!) (leaving out the red Powerball it is even only 1 in 1,086,008)…
.. fair enough to try?
So finally it’s up to us all playing that number of games to find out, and I think together our community can prove this lack in mother nature.
The most difficult task in here is that people tend to play their “lucky numbers” all the time, which contradicts completely with our philosophy, as you have to play a different set at every draw. So I would like you to take a moment and think of how much you have made with those numbers in all the years of lottery playing…
Give it a try and make your ticket a bit more “scientific”, so to say. It does not cost extra if you stick to your usual budget.
Awaiting the draw and having your lottery dream of winning would be much more exciting if you have concentrated your playing strategy knowingly on a heavily narrowed choice of numbers.
Since the beginning of lottery people have tried to trick the system.
This is just another approach to find prove.
I count on you.